Friday, January 4, 2013

Do Not Believe In Claims

Do Not Believe In Claims


Most of the claims which come in television and newspapers may not be based on the facts. Whenever somebody comes and tells me that he has cure for HIV AIDS, I only ask him a question, “Did you get Noble prize so far?” or “Have you patented your claim?” If the answer is no, I do not believe in that claim.
Claims are usually observation based and not fact based. Everyday you see in the newspaper quoting studies, for example, alcohol is good for health. Studies are not reliable as they are based on observations. Unless they are double blind cross over studies or meta analysis they should be digested with a pinch of salt.
Remember that observations and judgments are two separate things. Judgment usually involves facts and observations only what one has seen from his own experience.
Once a person in US up into a financial crisis and thought of committing suicide. Before committing suicide, he gathered all his wealth worth US$ 10000 and went to a casino so that he could lose that and commit suicide. He ended up with a jackpot and earned 5 million that day. It became news of the town and next day over a hundred people committed suicide who followed him by placing all their money on a jackpot.

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