Tuesday, January 28, 2020

The case fatality rate of corona virus so far has been the lowest


Do not panic, time to fight out
The case fatality rate of corona virus so far has been the lowest

Dr KK Aggarwal
President CMAAO, HCFI and Past National President IMA

Comparison with deadly viruses



Wuhan 2019 m CoV
MERS
SARS
Common cold caused by coronavirus
Detected
Dec 2019
2012, Southey Arabia
2002 in southern China.
Winter each year
Origin
Bats, Snakes
Bats, Camel
Bats, civets

Cases
14 countries
All cases linked to Arabian Peninsula, with 80% in Saudi Arabia. Others in about two dozen countries, including U.S. Cases and deaths have been declining since 2016.
No new cases reported since 2004. 87% of previous cases in China and Hong Kong.
Four coronavirus strains are thought to be responsible for 15-30% of common colds.
India
 None
None
None

Human to human
Close contact
Close contact
Close contacts
Close contact


2,494 confirmed cases; 858 deaths (as of Nov. 30, 2019).
8,098 cases; 774 deaths
Millions each year
Mortality
3%
34%
10%
Generally nonlethal with rare exceptions.



Case fatality rate

1.       2019 corona 3%
2.       MERS 35%
3.       SARS 10%
4.       Diphtheria 5-10%
5.       Polio: 2-5% children, 15-30% adults
6.       Swine flu < 0.15
7.       Whooping cough 4% infants < 1yr, 1% children < 4 years
8.       Ebola 50%
9.       Small-Pox 30-40%
10.   Measles 10-15% developing countries



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