Showing posts with label Formula of 20. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Formula of 20. Show all posts

Saturday, October 13, 2018

Revisiting dengue: Look for rise in hematocrit and not just falling platelets



Whenever dengue strikes, platelet counts along with shortage of platelets become the high point of discussion and panic sets in. Because it is presumed that platelet transfusion is the main treatment option for dengue. This is not so.

Platelet transfusions are not needed unless the platelet counts are less than 10,000 or there is active bleeding and thickening of blood.

Dengue causes low platelet count, but low platelet count by itself is never dangerous because patients with heart disease, diabetes are prescribed antiplatelets like aspirin, where they have a beneficial effect in preventing thrombotic complications. They are asked to report if they develop bleeding while on antiplatelets. Patients with idiopathic thrombocytopenic purpura (ITP) always have a low platelet count and they live a normal life on medication.

It’s not the platelet count alone with determines the prognosis of a patient of dengue.

More than the falling platelet count, it is the rapidity of fall in platelet count that is important. Even this does not alone is indicative of severity of illness.

Dengue not only causes low platelet count or destroys platelets, it also causes endothelial damage. Capillary leakage manifests as hemoconcentration and leads to increase in hematocrit and/or MCV and this is important. This is a medical emergency because a rising hematocrit means intravascular dehydration, which leads to multiorgan failure, hypotension and death.

Therefore, it is the rise in hematocrit along with rapid fall in platelets, which is the danger sign and is indicative of impending severe dengue.

Here is a simple Formula of 20 to identify high risk patients 

·         Rise in pulse by 20
·         Fall in upper blood pressure by more than 20
·         Rise in hematocrit by more than 20%
·         Rapid fall in platelets to less than 20,000
·         More than 20 hemorrhagic spots on the arm in one inch after tourniquet test
·         Difference between upper and lower BP is less than 20

Start fluid replacement at 20 ml/kg/hour immediately in such patients, and shift to nearest medical center for observation. 


Dr KK Aggarwal
Padma Shri Awardee
President Elect Confederation of Medical Associations in Asia and Oceania   (CMAAO)
Group Editor-in-Chief IJCP Publications
President Heart Care Foundation of India
Immediate Past National President IMA


Sunday, July 17, 2011

Dr KK’s formula of 20 for identifying at risk dengue patients


Dengue fever is now prevalent all over the world and has significant but preventable mortality. Knowing simple formulas can reduce the mortality.
The treatment of dengue is, that once the fever is over, give the patient enough fluids that he or she passes urine every 4 hours. Intravascular dehydration is the reason for mortality and not platelet deficiency. Do platelets only for diagnosis and not for follow ups.  Only monitor the pulse pressure and keep it > 20.

There is no need for platelet transfusion unless platelet count is less than 2% of the baseline value
AND there is presence of ACTIVE spontaneous bleeding.
.
 The period of maximum risk for shock is between the third and seventh day of illness. This tends to coincide with resolution of fever. Plasma leakage generally first becomes evident between 24 hours before and 24 hours after fever is over.  Often people insist on a discharge from the hospital when the fever is over or do not want to get admitted once the fever is over.

 Physicians should remember the Dr KK’s formula of 20 for identifying high risk patients.
1.      Rise in pulse by more than 20.
2.      Fall in upper BP by more than 20.
3.      Difference between lower and upper BP of less than 20.
4.      Platelet count less than 20 thousand.
5.      Presence of more than 20 hemorrhagic spots on the arm after tourniquet test.
6.      Rise in hematiocrit by more than 20%.
7.      Treat such patients with 20 ml/kg body weight per hour of fluid replacement till the patient passes urine and the BP is stabilized.