Saturday, March 14, 2020

What does the India graph indicates regarding COVID 19




What does the India graph indicates regarding COVID 19


Dr KK Aggarwal
President CMAAO, HCFI and Past National President IMA

Forcast

The graph does not suggest any community spread in India.

In India we had a spurt of cases on 4th and then again in between 10-13th

Number of confirmed cases on 4th were 23

Number of confirmed cases from 10-13th are 35

COVID 19 doubling time is 7.5 days without a super spreader

The rise in cases is as expected 

Next wave may be seen between 16-19 March

Doubling time of 1-3 days suggest community spread

Testing COVID 19 in H1N1 and respiratory biofire negative respiratory infections also suggest a community spread. So far these has not shown any community spread

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